122. What is MIRR?
Answer.
MIRR is that discount rate which equates the future value of cash inflows to
the present value of cash out flows. We use Common Life or EAA Approach to
adjust NPV of projects with different lives.
123. Reasons for Capital Rationing:
1.
The best project may have a very high initial investment and you may not have
that money. So, you are forced to reject that project as an option.
2.
The company does not have the human resource, knowledge, or talent, which is
required to undertake the project. The project might have high NPV but if you
cannot manage it, you are forced not to invest in that project.
3.
The companies have the prevailing fear of debt. In case of Muslim countries,
there is a major issue of “Riba” (interest) among Muslim investors and the
companies due to this religious constraint choose not to borrow money.
124. Types of Problems in Capital Rationing:
1.
Size Difference of cash flows
2.
Timing Difference of cash flows
3.
Different (or Unequal) Lives of different projects
125. Disadvantage of project with very long life
Does
not give you the opportunity (or option) to replace the equipment quickly in
order to keep pace with technology, better quality, and lower costs
Disadvantage
of project with very short life
Your
money will have to be reinvested in some other project with an uncertain NPV
and return so it is risky. If a good project is not available, the money will
earn only a minimal return at the risk free interest rate.
126. What is the Difference between Real Assets & Securities?
Real
assets are physical property such as Land, Machinery, equipments and Building
etc. Where as securities basically, are legal contractual piece of paper.
Reference
handouts page no 63
127. If the Company raises money using Bonds,
then it will have to pay a fixed amount of interest (or mark-up) regularly
for a limited amount of time. You do not share the profits of the company. But
there as legal risk attached to the failure to pay interest can force company
to close down.
If
the Company raises money using Equity, then it is forced to bring in new
shareholders who can interfere in the management and will get a share of the
net profits (or dividends) for as long as the company is in operation! The
amount of dividends can vary.
Reference
handouts page no 63
128. Bonds:
Numerical Features
• Maturity
or Tenure or Life: Measured in years. On the Maturity Date when the bond
expires, the Issuer returns all the money (Principal/par and Interest/coupon)
to the Investor (thereby terminating or Redeeming the bond) i.e. 6 months, 1
year, 3 years, 5 years, 10 years,
• Par
Value or Face Value: Principal Amount (generally printed on the bond paper)
returned at maturity i.e. Rs 1,000 or Rs. 10,000. Contrast this to Market Value
(or Actual Price based on Supply/Demand) and Intrinsic or Fair Value (estimated
using Bond Pricing or Present Value Formula)
• Coupon
Interest Rate: percentage of Par Value paid out as interest irrespective of
changes in Market Value i.e. 5 % pa, 10 % pa, 15% pa, … etc. Coupon Receipt =
Coupon Rate x Par Value. Coupon Receipts can be paid out monthly, quarterly,
six-monthly, annually…etc. Contrast to Market Interest Rate (macro-economic).
Bonds:
Characteristics & Legal Points
Indenture”:
Long Legal Agreement between the Issuer (or Borrower) and the Bond Trustee
(generally a bank of financial institution that acts as the representative for
all Bondholders). Basically protects Bondholders from mis-management by the
bond issuer, default, other security holders, etc
128. Call Provision:
The
right (or option) of the Issuer to call back (redeem) or retire the bond by
paying-off the Bondholders before the Maturity Date. When market interest rates
drop, Issuers (or Borrowers) often call back the old bonds and issue new ones
at lower interest rates
Types
of Bonds:
Mortgage
Bonds: backed & secured by real assets
Subordinated
Debt and General Credit: lower rank and claim than Mortgage Bonds.
Debentures:
These
are not secured by real property, risky
Floating
Rate Bond :
It is
defined as a type of bond bearing a yield that may rise and fall within a
specified range according to fluctuations in the market. The bond has been used
in the housing bond market
Eurobonds:
it issued from a foreign country
Zero
Bonds & Low Coupon Bonds: no regular interest payments (+ for lender),
not callable (+ for investor)
Junk
Bonds & High Yield Bonds: Corporations that are small in size,
or lack an established operating track record are also likely to be considered
speculative grade. Junk bonds are most commonly associated with corporate
issuers. They are high-risk debt with rating below BB by S&P
Convertible
Bonds:
A
convertible bond is a bond which can be converted into the company's common
stock
129.
Present Value formula for the bond:
n
PV=
Σ CFt / (1+rD)t =CF1/(1+rD)+CFn/(1+rD)2 +..+CFn/
(1+rD) n +PAR/ (1+rD) n
t =1
In
this formula
PV
= Intrinsic Value of Bond or Fair Price (in rupees) paid to invest in the
bond.
Coupon
Rate derived from Macroeconomic or Market Interest Rate.
130. When Market Interest Rate (i.e.
Investors’ Required Rate of Return) Increases, the Value (or Price) of Bond
Decreases. Check using formula. This is known as Interest Rate Risk.
131. Bond Portfolio Theory:
Changes
in Market / Macro Interest Rates have 2 Major Impacts on the Portfolio (collection
of bond investments) of the Bondholder:
(1)
Interest Rate Risk: In this, the value of Bond Portfolio Drops if interest
rates Rise) and
(2)
Reinvestment Risk: In this, the overall Rate of Return (or Yield) on the
Bond Portfolio Rises when interest rates rise the opportunity cost for the bond
holder has changed.
132. Bond Yield
to Maturity (YTM)
PV
= Bond Market Price = CFt / (1+rD)
t
YTM
=Total or Overall Yield = Interest Yield + Capital Gains Yield
Interest
Yield or Current Yield = Coupon / Market Price
Capital
Gains Yield = YTM - Interest Yield
133.
Perpetual Investment with Fixed Regular Dividends
PV
= Po * = DIV 1 / r PE
Where
r PE = Minimum Required Rate of Return on Preferred Stock Equity for the
individual investor, PV = Present Market Value (or Estimated Present Price)
which depends on DIV 1 = Forecasted Future Dividend in the next period (i.e.
Year 1 and all other years since DIV 1=DIV2= DIV3=...) basically, it is a
Perpetuity Formula.
Finite
Investment:
Finite
Investment means you plan to buy this Stock and then sell it in a few days or
years (n). Formula similar to Bond .
PV
= Po * = DIVt / (1+ rPE) t + Pn / (1+
rPE) n.
t=year.
Sum from t = 1 to n. Pn = Final Expected Selling Price
PV
(Share Price) = Dividend Value + Capital Gain /Loss.
The
Dividend Value derived from Dividend Cash Stream and Capital Gain /Loss from
Difference between Buying & Selling Price.
144.
Finite Investment
In
this duration of our investment is limited. Cash inflow from Forecasted Selling
Price must be taken into account in price estimate.
2. Perpetual Investment
It is
very long term horizon for long term investment. It is Perpetual so Forecasted
Selling Price not significant and can be eliminated. If you are planning to buy
and hold the share for 20 or 30 years then you can consider it as a long term
assets. Similarly, an investment in the share for the period of one or two
years
Reference
handouts page no 78
145. If Market Price < Fair
Value: then Stock is under valued by the Market
If Market
Price > Fair Value then Stock is Over Valued
Zero
Growth Model Pricing
PV = Po * = DIV1 / rCE
Constant
Growth Model Pricing (assume g=10%)
PV = Po * = DIV1 / (rCE -g)
g=
plowback ratio x ROE.
Reference
handouts page no 81
146. This particular formula the way it
is mentioned above is known as Gordon ’s
formula and we use this formula to calculate the required rate of return.
Reference
handouts page no 81
147. EPS Approach
In
EPS approach, we estimate the price of common stock under very long term investment.
EPS
Stock Price Estimation Formula
PV
= Po * = EPS 1 / rCE + PVGO
EPS
1 = Forecasted Earnings per Share in the next year (i.e. Year 1),
rCE
= Required Rate of Return on Investment in Common Stock Equity.
PVGO
= Present Value of Growth Opportunities
Reference
handouts page no 82
148. Growth Stock:
It is
growth share where the value of the share is determined by the potential of
this company to grow its business as oppose to company which have low growth
rate. Particularly, for IT internet companies where we expect a high rate of
growth for the business the PVGO term is large percent of the price of the
share.
149.
Diversifiable Risk: random risk specific to one company, can be
virtually eliminated.
Market
Risk: It is defined as uncertainty caused by broad movement in market or
economy. More significant
Range
of Possible Outcomes, Expected Return:
Overall
Return on Stock = Dividend Yield + Capital Gains Yield (Gordon ’s
Formula)
ROR
is the SUM of the weighted returns for ALL possible Outcomes.
Expected
ROR = < r > = pi ri
Risk
= Std Dev = σ = √ ( r i - < r i > )2 p i .
= “Sigma”
Portfolio:
Portfolio
is defined as a Collection of Multiple Investments. Most organization maintains
large collection or portfolio of investments and when we talk about the risk
and return then we have to consider overall risk and return for the entire
portfolio. Portfolios may have 2 or more stocks, bonds, other securities and
investments or a mix of all
150.
Total Stock Risk = Diversifiable Risk + Market Risk
Portfolio
Expected ROR Formula:
rP
* = r1 x1 + r2 x2 + r3 x3 + … + rn
xn .
Terms
in Boxes on Diagonal (Top Left to Bottom Right) are called “VARIANCE” terms
associated with individual magnitude of risk for each stock.
Terms in all other (or NON-DIAGONAL) Boxes are called “COVARIANCE”
terms which account for affect of one stock’s movement on another stock’s
movement
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